Diamond Deals
Friday, October 24th, 2008Diamond Deals
The value of diamonds in the wholesale arena have been quite volatile over the past two years. Diamond dealers have watched Rapaport Diamond Report hike the cost of diamonds over and over again. In the past, once or twice a quarter, the industry prepared for a price change and reacted accordingly; the most dramatic changes in diamond price were almost always limited to the ultra rare. But throughout 2007 and 2008, the effects of the housing and subsequent credit crises on the global economy, weakening dollar et al brought about huge up swings in the Rapaport demand value of most diamonds above 1ct.
The theoretical return on investment for diamond dealers in the past 2 years has been unprecedented. The value of diamonds has outperformed almost every other conceivable investment. But as is the case with all commodities, shift in demand, supply chains, and world power currency value is apt to change that trend in diamonds as it has for oil, gold and platinum. So the question is, will the importers and manufacturers who have safes full of diamonds be willing to cut deals on their diamond inventory in order to exercise their possession and guarantee return before prices fall? Will prices even fall fall?
I have been speaking with industry insiders in an attempt to glean their perspective on the type of impact today’s economic uncertainty will have on our industry. Perspectives are varied, but a common theme in industry trends seems to emerge among the more “advanced” players. That is that the type of spontaneous or impulsive luxury mindedness that yields high end finished good sales will dissipate. But regarding full cut gem quality loose diamonds such as those used for engagement rings, we think demand will remain high. One engagement ring per couple and two subsequent wedding bands 6 months to a year after is volume I think we can count on. So while the $15,000 budget may drop to $10,000, the $5000 budget to $3500, I believe diamonds will continue to be in demand and therefore valuable for even until the end we know that “They ate, they drank, they married wives, they were given in marriage…”.
